Sangano reWorld Steel Association (Worldsteel) riri muBrussels rakaburitsa tarisiro yaro yenguva pfupi yegore ra2021 na2022. Worldsteel inofanotaura kuti kudiwa kwesimbi kuchakura ne5.8 muzana muna 2021 kusvika pamatani anoda kusvika mabhiriyoni 1.88.
Kuburitswa kwesimbi kwakaderera ne0.2 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2022, kudiwa kwesimbi kuchawedzera kukura ne2.7 muzana kusvika panosvika matani anoda kusvika mabhiriyoni 1.925.
Worldsteel inoti fungidziro yazvino inofungidzira kuti "mafungu echipiri kana matatu ehutachiona hwe [COVID-19] achagadzikana muchikamu chechipiri uye kuti kufambira mberi kwakasimba pakubaiwa majekiseni kuchaitwa, zvichibvumira kudzokera zvishoma nezvishoma kune zvakajairika munyika huru dzinoshandisa simbi."
"Pasinei nekukanganisa kwakaipisisa kwedenda iri pahupenyu nemararamiro, indasitiri yepasi rose yesimbi yakava nerombo rakanaka rekugumisa gore ra2020 nekuderera kudiki kwekudiwa kwesimbi," anodaro Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, sachigaro weWorldsteel Economics Committee.
Komiti iyi inoti kuchine "kusazivana kukuru kwegore ra2021," ichiti kushanduka kwehutachiona nekufambira mberi kwekubaiwa majekiseni, kubviswa kwemitemo yemari nekutsigira, zvematongerwo enyika uye kusawirirana kwekutengeserana zvese zvinogona kukanganisa kupora kwakatsanangurwa mufungidziro yayo.
Munyika dzakabudirira, "Mushure mekudzikira kwehupfumi muchikamu chechipiri chegore ra2020, maindasitiri akawedzera nekukurumidza muchikamu chechitatu chegore, zvakanyanya nekuda kwematanho makuru ekusimudzira mari uye kusunungurwa kwezvinodiwa zvakaderera," anonyora kudaro Worldsteel.
Zvisinei, sangano iri rinoti huwandu hwemabasa hwakaramba huri pasi pehuwandu hweasati aitika denda pakupera kwa2020. Nekuda kweizvozvo, kudiwa kwesimbi munyika dzakabudirira kwakaderera ne12.7 muzana muna 2020.
Worldsteel inofanotaura kuti, "Tichaona kupora kukuru muna 2021 na2022, nekukura kwe8.2 muzana ne4.2 muzana, zvichiteerana. Zvisinei, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022 kucharamba kuri pasi pemazinga a2019."
Kunyangwe huwandu hwevanhu vakabatwa nehutachiona hwakakwira, hupfumi hweUnited States hwakakwanisa kusimuka zvakanyanya kubva pakutanga nekuda kwekuwedzera kwemari kwakabatsira pakugadzira zvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu, asi kudiwa kwesimbi muUS kwakadzikira ne18 muzana muna 2020.
Hurumende yaBiden yazivisa nezvechikumbiro chemari inosvika $2 trillion ine zvinhu zvekushandisa mukuvaka zvivakwa kwemakore akawanda. Chirongwa ichi chichaitwa muhurukuro muCongress.
Chero hurongwa hupi zvahwo huchave nemukana wekubudirira pakudiwa kwesimbi. Zvisinei, pasinei neizvi uye kufambira mberi nekukurumidza mukubaya majekiseni, kudzoserwa kwesimba resimbi kuchadziviswa munguva pfupi nekuda kwekusasimba kwesimba muzvikamu zvekuvaka nemagetsi zvisiri zvekugara. Chikamu chemotokari chinotarisirwa kupora zvakanyanya.
MuEuropean Union, makambani anoshandisa simbi akatambura zvakanyanya kubva mumatanho ekutanga ekuvharirwa kwedzimba muna 2020 asi akawana kudzoserwa kwakasimba kupfuura zvaitarisirwa mushure mekuvharirwa kwedzimba mumabasa ekugadzira nekuda kwematanho ekutsigira ehurumende uye kudiwa kwakakura, inodaro Worldsteel.
Saka, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2020 munyika dzeEU makumi maviri nenomwe neUnited Kingdom kwakaguma nekudzikira kuri nani ne11.4 muzana kupfuura zvaitarisirwa.
"Kudzoka muna 2021 na2022 kunotarisirwa kuti kuchava kwakanaka, kuchikonzerwa nekudzoka muzvikamu zvese zvekushandisa simbi, kunyanya mubazi rezvemotokari nemabasa ekuvaka everuzhinji," Worldsteel anodaro. Kusvika pari zvino, kukurumidza kwekudzoka kweEU hakuna kukanganiswa nekukwira kuri kuitika kweCOVID-19, asi mamiriro ehutano mukondinendi "achiri kusimba," sangano rinowedzera kudaro.
Turkey ine midziyo yemagetsi inopinza zvinhu zvisina kusimba (EAF) "yakatambura nekudzikira kukuru muna 2019 nekuda kwedambudziko remari ra2018, [asi] yakaramba ichiwedzera kusimba kwayakatanga pakupera kwa2019 nekuda kwemabasa ekuvaka," Worldsteel anodaro. Kusimba kwekusimba kwayakaita ikoko kucharamba kuripo, uye kudiwa kwesimbi kunotarisirwa kudzokera padanho redambudziko remari isati yasvika muna 2022, rinodaro boka iri.
Hupfumi hweSouth Korea, imwe nyika inotenga zvinhu zvakaraswa kubva kunze kwenyika, hwakapukunyuka kudzikira kukuru kwehupfumi hwenyika nekuda kwekutarisira kuri nani kwedenda iri, uye hwakaona kusimba kwakanaka mukudyara mari muzvivakwa nekuvaka.
Kunyange zvakadaro, kudiwa kwesimbi kwakadzikira ne8 muzana muna 2020 nekuda kwekudzikira muzvikamu zvemotokari nekuvaka zvikepe. Muna 2021-22, zvikamu zviviri izvi zvichatungamira mukudzoreredzwa, izvo zvichatsigirwa nekusimba kuri kuramba kuripo mukudyara kwezvivakwa uye zvirongwa zvehurumende zvezvivakwa. Kunyange zvakadaro, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022 hakutarisirwi kudzokera padanho risati rasvika denda.
India yakatambura zvakanyanya nekuda kwenguva yakareba yekuvharirwa kwakasimba, izvo zvakaita kuti mabasa mazhinji emaindasitiri nekuvaka amire. Zvisinei, hupfumi hwanga huchidzoka zvakanaka kubva muna Nyamavhuvhu, (hwakanyanya kupfuura zvaitarisirwa, anodaro Worldsteel), nekutangwazve kwemapurojekiti ehurumende uye kudiwa kwekushandisa kwakawedzera.
Kudiwa kwesimbi muIndia kwakadzikira ne13.7 muzana muna 2020 asi kunotarisirwa kuwedzera ne19.8 muzana kupfuura mwero wa2019 muna 2021, zvingangove zvichipa mashoko akanaka kune vanotengesa zvimedu zvesimbi kunze kwenyika. Hurongwa hwehurumende hwakatarisana nekukura huchaita kuti kudiwa kwesimbi muIndia kukwire, ukuwo mari yekudyara pachivande ichitora nguva yakareba kuti idzoke.
Hupfumi hweJapan hwakakanganiswawo zvikuru nedenda iri nekuda kwekukanganiswa kwemabasa ehupfumi uye kusavimba kwakasimba kwakawedzera kumhedzisiro yekukwira kwemitero yekushandisa muna Gumiguru 2019. Nekudzikira kwakanyanya mukugadzirwa kwemotokari, kudiwa kwesimbi kwakaderera ne16.8 muzana muna 2020. Kudzoka kwekuda kwesimbi muJapan kuchave kuri pakati nepakati, zvichikonzerwa nekukwira kwemitengo muchikamu chemotokari nekukwira kwemitengo yekutengeswa kunze kwenyika nemichina yeindasitiri nekuda kwekukwira kwemari inoshandiswa pasi rose, sekureva kweWorldsteel.
Mudunhu reAssociation of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), kukanganiswa kwemapurojekiti ekuvaka kwakakanganisa musika wesimbi uri kukura nekukurumidza, uye kudiwa kwesimbi kwakadzikira ne11.9 muzana muna 2020.
Malaysia (iyo inotenga zvinhu zvakawanda kubva kuUS) nePhilippines ndidzo dzakanyanya kukanganiswa, ukuwo Vietnam neIndonesia dzakaona kudzikira kudiki kwekudiwa kwesimbi. Kugadziriswazve kwezvinhu kuchakonzerwa nekutangwazve kwemabasa ekuvaka nekushanya, izvo zvichakurumidza kuitwa muna 2022.
MuChina, chikamu chekuvaka chakakurumidza kudzoka kubva muna Kubvumbi 2020 zvichienda mberi, zvichitsigirwa nekudyara muzvivakwa. Muna 2021 zvichienda mberi, kukura kwekudyara muzvivakwa kunogona kudzikira zvichienderana nenhungamiro yehurumende yekudzora kukura muchikamu ichocho.
Kudyara mari mumapurojekiti ezvivakwa muna 2020 kwakaratidza kukura kwakadzika kwe0.9 muzana. Zvisinei, sezvo hurumende yeChina yatanga mapurojekiti matsva akawanda ekutsigira hupfumi, kukura kwekudyara mari muzvivakwa kunotarisirwa kuwedzera muna 2021 uye kuramba kuchikanganisa kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022.
Muchikamu chekugadzira, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwave kuchikwira zvakanyanya kubva muna Chivabvu 2020. Mugore rose ra2020, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwakaderera ne1.4 muzana chete. Mamwe matunhu ekugadzira akaratidza kukura nekuda kwekudiwa kwakanyanya kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika.
MuChina, kushandiswa kwesimbi kwakawedzera ne9.1 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2021, zvinotarisirwa kuti matanho ekukurudzira akaunzwa muna 2020 acharamba aripo kuti hupfumi hurambe huchikura zvine mwero. Nekuda kweizvozvo, makambani mazhinji anoshandisa simbi acharatidza mwero. Sangano reWorld Steel Association (Worldsteel) riri muBrussels rakaburitsa tarisiro yaro yenguva pfupi yegore ra2021 na2022. Worldsteel inofanotaura kuti kudiwa kwesimbi kuchakura ne5.8 muzana muna 2021 kusvika panosvika matani anoda kusvika mabhiriyoni 1.88.
Kuburitswa kwesimbi kwakaderera ne0.2 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2022, kudiwa kwesimbi kuchawedzera kukura ne2.7 muzana kusvika panosvika matani anoda kusvika mabhiriyoni 1.925.
Worldsteel inoti fungidziro yazvino inofungidzira kuti "mafungu echipiri kana matatu ehutachiona hwe [COVID-19] achagadzikana muchikamu chechipiri uye kuti kufambira mberi kwakasimba pakubaiwa majekiseni kuchaitwa, zvichibvumira kudzokera zvishoma nezvishoma kune zvakajairika munyika huru dzinoshandisa simbi."
"Pasinei nekukanganisa kwakaipisisa kwedenda iri pahupenyu nemararamiro, indasitiri yepasi rose yesimbi yakava nerombo rakanaka rekugumisa gore ra2020 nekuderera kudiki kwekudiwa kwesimbi," anodaro Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, sachigaro weWorldsteel Economics Committee.
Komiti iyi inoti kuchine "kusazivana kukuru kwegore ra2021," ichiti kushanduka kwehutachiona nekufambira mberi kwekubaiwa majekiseni, kubviswa kwemitemo yemari nekutsigira, zvematongerwo enyika uye kusawirirana kwekutengeserana zvese zvinogona kukanganisa kupora kwakatsanangurwa mufungidziro yayo.
Munyika dzakabudirira, "Mushure mekudzikira kwehupfumi muchikamu chechipiri chegore ra2020, maindasitiri akawedzera nekukurumidza muchikamu chechitatu chegore, zvakanyanya nekuda kwematanho makuru ekusimudzira mari uye kusunungurwa kwezvinodiwa zvakaderera," anonyora kudaro Worldsteel.
Zvisinei, sangano iri rinoti huwandu hwemabasa hwakaramba huri pasi pehuwandu hweasati aitika denda pakupera kwa2020. Nekuda kweizvozvo, kudiwa kwesimbi munyika dzakabudirira kwakaderera ne12.7 muzana muna 2020.
Worldsteel inofanotaura kuti, "Tichaona kupora kukuru muna 2021 na2022, nekukura kwe8.2 muzana ne4.2 muzana, zvichiteerana. Zvisinei, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022 kucharamba kuri pasi pemazinga a2019."
Hurumende yatanga mapurojekiti matsva akawanda ekutsigira hupfumi, kukura kwekudyara muzvivakwa kunotarisirwa kuwedzera muna 2021 uye kuramba kuchikanganisa kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022.
Muchikamu chekugadzira, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwave kuchikwira zvakanyanya kubva muna Chivabvu 2020. Mugore rose ra2020, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwakaderera ne1.4 muzana chete. Mamwe matunhu ekugadzira akaratidza kukura nekuda kwekudiwa kwakanyanya kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika.
MuChina, kushandiswa kwesimbi kwakawedzera ne9.1 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2021, zvinotarisirwa kuti matanho ekukurudzira akaunzwa muna 2020 acharamba aripo kuti ave nechokwadi chekuti hupfumi hunoramba huchikura zvine mwero. Nekuda kweizvozvo, makambani mazhinji anoshandisa simbi acharatidza kukura kuri pakati nepakati uye kudiwa kwesimbi muChina kunotarisirwa kukura ne3 muzana muna 2021. Muna 2022, kukura kwekuda kwesimbi "kuchaderera kusvika muzana sezvo mhedzisiro yekukurudzira kwa2020 ichiderera, uye hurumende ichitarisa kukura kwakasimba," sekureva kweWorldsteel.
kukura uye kudiwa kwesimbi muChina kunotarisirwa kukura ne3 muzana muna 2021. Muna 2022, kukura kwekudiwa kwesimbi "kuchaderera kusvika muzana sezvo mhedzisiro yekukurudzira kwa2020 ichiderera, uye hurumende inotarisa pakukura kwakasimba," sekureva kweWorldsteel.
Nguva yekutumira: Gunyana-28-2021