Sangano reBrussels-based World Steel Association (Worldsteel) rakaburitsa maonero ayo enguva pfupi ye2021 uye 2022. Worldsteel forecasts kudiwa kwesimbi kuchakura ne5.8 muzana muna 2021 kusvika kusvika 1.88 bhiriyoni metric tons.
Simbi inobuda yakadzikira ne 0.2 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2022, kudiwa kwesimbi kuchawedzera kuwedzera kwe2.7 muzana kusvika panosvika 1.925 bhiriyoni metric tons.
Kufembera kwazvino, Worldsteel inodaro, inofunga "mafungu echipiri kana echitatu ehutachiona hwe [COVID-19] achadzikama muchikamu chechipiri uye kuti kufambira mberi kwakasimba pakudzivirira kuchaitwa, zvichibvumira kudzoka zvishoma nezvishoma kune zvakajairika munyika huru dzinoshandisa simbi. .”
"Zvisinei nekukanganisa kuri kuita denda pahupenyu nemararamiro, indasitiri yesimbi yepasi rose yakaita rombo rakanaka kupera gore ra2020 nekushomeka kwesimbi," anodaro Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, sachigaro weWorldsteel Economics Committee.
Komiti iyi inoti pachine "kusava nechokwadi kwakanyanya kwegore ra2021," ichiti shanduko yehutachiona uye kufambira mberi kwemajekiseni, kubviswa kwekutsigira mari nematongerwo emari, geopolitics uye kusawirirana kwekutengeserana zvese zvinogona kukanganisa kudzoreredzwa kwakatsanangurwa mukufanotaura.
Munyika dzakabudirira, "Mushure mekuderera kwemabasa ehupfumi muchikamu chechipiri cha2020, indasitiri yakawedzera nekukurumidza muchikamu chechitatu, zvakanyanya nekuda kwematanho ekurudziro emari uye kuderera kwezvido zvehupfumi," inonyora kudaro Worldsteel.
Sangano rinocherekedza, zvisinei, kuti nhanho dzekuita dzakaramba dziri pasi peiyo pre-denda mukupera kwa2020. Nekuda kweizvozvo, kudiwa kwesimbi kwenyika dzakasimukira kwakanyora kudzikira kwe12,7 muzana muna 2020.
Inofanotaura Worldsteel, "Tichaona kupora kwakanyanya muna 2021 na2022, nekukura kwe8.2 muzana uye 4.2 muzana, zvichiteerana. Nekudaro, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022 kucharamba kupfupi pamazinga a2019. "
Kunyangwe huwandu hwehutachiwana hwakanyanya, hupfumi hweUnited States hwakakwanisa kudzoka zvine simba kubva kune yekutanga wave kutenda muchikamu kune yakakura kukurudzira kwemari yaitsigira kushandiswa. Izvi zvakabatsira kugadzirwa kwezvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu, asi kudiwa kwesimbi kweUS kwakaderera ne18 muzana muna 2020.
Iyo Biden manejimendi yakazivisa $ 2 matiriyoni emari chirevo chine zvigadziro zvekudyara kukuru kwezvivakwa mukati memakore akawanda. Hurongwa uhu huchaitwa nenhaurirano muCongress.
Anenge chero mhedzisiro chirongwa chichava nepamusoro mukana wekuda kwesimbi. Nekudaro, kunyangwe izvi uye nekukurumidza kufambira mberi mumajekiseni, kudzoreredzwa kwesimbi kunomanikidzwa munguva pfupi neiyo isina kusimba rebound mune dzisiri dzekugara kuvaka uye simba zvikamu. Chikamu chemotokari chinotarisirwa kupora zvakasimba.
MuEuropean Union, zvikamu zvinoshandisa simbi zvakatambura zvakanyanya kubva pamatanho ekutanga ekuvhara muna 2020 asi akawana simba rakasimba kupfuura raitarisirwa rekuvhara mumabasa ekugadzira nekuda kwematanho anotsigira ehurumende uye kudiwa kwepent-up, inodaro Worldsteel.
Saizvozvo, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2020 muEU 27 nyika uye United Kingdom yakapera neiyo iri nani-kupfuura-yaitarisirwa 11.4 muzana contraction.
"Kupora muna 2021 uye 2022 kunotarisirwa kuve neutano, kusundwa nekudzoreredza muzvikamu zvese zvekushandisa simbi, kunyanya chikamu chemotokari uye zvirongwa zvekuvaka veruzhinji," Worldsteel inodaro. Parizvino, kusimba kweEU kupora hakuna kuderedzwa nekuenderera mberi kweCCIDID-19, asi hutano hwekondinendi "hunoramba husina kusimba," sangano rinowedzera.
Yakarasa-inopinza electric arc furnace (EAF) mill-heavy Turkey "yakatambura chibvumirano chakadzika muna 2019 nekuda kwedambudziko remari ra2018, [asi] yakachengetedza kupora kwakatanga mukupera kwa2019 nekuda kwemabasa ekuvaka," Worldsteel inodaro. Iko kusimba kwekudzoreredza ikoko kuchaenderera mberi, uye kudiwa kwesimbi kunotarisirwa kudzoka kune precurrency dambudziko level muna 2022, rinodaro boka.
Hupfumi hweSouth Korea, imwe nyika inotenga kunze kwenyika, hwakapukunyuka kudzikira kukuru kwechigadzirwa chepamba nekuda kwekutonga kuri nani kwedenda, uye yakaona kusimba mukudyara kwenzvimbo nekuvaka.
Zvakangodaro, kudiwa kwesimbi kwakabvumiranwa ne8 muzana muna 2020 nekuda kwekumisikidza muzvikamu zvemotokari uye zvekugadzira ngarava. Muna 2021-22, zvikamu zviviri izvi zvichatungamira kudzoreredza, izvo zvinozotsigirwa nekuenderera mberi kwesimba mukudyara kwezvivakwa uye zvirongwa zvehurumende zvezvivakwa. Zvakangodaro, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022 hakutarisirwe kudzoka kune pre-denda level.
India yakatambura zvakanyanya kubva kwenguva yakareba yekuvharika, izvo zvakaita kuti mabasa mazhinji eindasitiri nekuvaka amire. Zvakadaro, hupfumi hwave kusimba zvakanyanya kubva Nyamavhuvhu, (yakanyanya kupinza kupfuura zvaitarisirwa, inodaro Worldsteel), nekutangwazve kwezvirongwa zvehurumende uye pent-up kudiwa kwekushandisa.
Kudiwa kwesimbi kuIndia kwakadzikira ne13.7 muzana muna 2020 asi kunotarisirwa kudzokororwa ne19.8 muzana kuti ipfuure mwero wegore ra2019 muna 2021, zvichipa nhau dzakanaka kune vanotengesa kunze kwenyika. Iyo yekukura-yakatarisana nehurumende ajenda ichasimudzira kudiwa kwesimbi kuIndia, ukuwo mari yakazvimirira inotora nguva yakareba kuti idzoke.
Hupfumi hweJapan zvakare hwakarohwa zvakanyanya kubva padenda nekuda kwekukanganiswa kwekuita kwehupfumi hwakawanda uye kusavimbika kwakawedzera kumhedzisiro yekukwira kwemutero waGumiguru 2019. Nekudonha kwakanyanya mukugadzirwa kwemotokari, kudiwa kwesimbi kwakadzikira ne16.8 muzana muna 2020. Kudzoreredza mukuda kwesimbi yeJapan kuchava pakati nepakati, zvichitungamirwa nekudzokororwa muchikamu chemotokari nekudzorera kunze kwenyika uye michina yemaindasitiri nekuda kwekudzoreredza kwepasi rose mukushandiswa kwemari. , maererano neWorldsteel.
Munharaunda yeAssociation of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN), kuvhiringwa kwezvirongwa zvekuvaka kwakarova musika wesimbi uri kukurumidza kukura, uye kudiwa kwesimbi kwakabvumidzwa ne11.9 muzana muna 2020.
Malaysia (iyo inopinza zvinhu zvakakura kubva kuUS) nePhilippines ndidzo dzakanyanya kurohwa, nepo Vietnam neIndonesia dzakangoona kudzikira zvishoma kwekudiwa kwesimbi. Kudzoreredza kuchafambiswa nekutangwazve zvishoma nezvishoma kwezviitwa zvekuvaka uye kushanya, izvo zvinozowedzera mu2022.
MuChina, chikamu chekuvaka chakakurumidza kupora kubva muna Kubvumbi 2020 zvichienda mberi, chichitsigirwa nekudyara kwezvivakwa. Muna 2021 zvichienda mberi, kukura kwekudyara zvivakwa kunogona kudzikira muchiedza chegwaro rehurumende rekudzikisa kukura muchikamu ichocho.
Kudyara muzvirongwa zvezvivakwa muna 2020 kwakashumwa kukura kwe0.9 muzana. Nekudaro, sezvo hurumende yeChina yatanga mapurojekiti akati wandei ekutsigira hupfumi, kukura kwekudyara kwezvivakwa kunotarisirwa kutanga muna 2021 uye kuramba kuchikanganisa kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022.
Muchikamu chekugadzira, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwave kupora zvakanyanya kubva muna Chivabvu 2020. Kwese muna 2020, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwakadzikira ne1.4 muzana chete. Mamwe matunhu ekugadzira aratidza kukura nekuda kwekuda kwakasimba kunze kwenyika.
Pakazara muChina, kushandiswa kwesimbi kwakawedzera ne9.1 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2021, zvinotarisirwa kuti zvikurudzirwe matanho akaunzwa muna 2020 acharamba aripo kuitira kuti hupfumi hwenyika hurambe huripo. Nekuda kweizvozvo, zvikamu zvakawanda zvinoshandisa simbi zvicharatidza zviri pakati nepakatiThe Brussels-based World Steel Association (Worldsteel) yakaburitsa maonero ayo enguva pfupi ye2021 uye 2022. Worldsteel inofungidzira kudiwa kwesimbi kuchakura ne5.8 muzana muna 2021 kusvika kunosvika 1.88 bhiriyoni metric. matani.
Simbi inobuda yakadzikira ne 0.2 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2022, kudiwa kwesimbi kuchawedzera kuwedzera kwe2.7 muzana kusvika panosvika 1.925 bhiriyoni metric tons.
Kufembera kwazvino, Worldsteel inodaro, inofunga "mafungu echipiri kana echitatu ehutachiona hwe [COVID-19] achadzikama muchikamu chechipiri uye kuti kufambira mberi kwakasimba pakudzivirira kuchaitwa, zvichibvumira kudzoka zvishoma nezvishoma kune zvakajairika munyika huru dzinoshandisa simbi. .”
"Zvisinei nekukanganisa kuri kuita denda pahupenyu nemararamiro, indasitiri yesimbi yepasi rose yakaita rombo rakanaka kupera gore ra2020 nekushomeka kwesimbi," anodaro Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, sachigaro weWorldsteel Economics Committee.
Komiti iyi inoti pachine "kusava nechokwadi kwakanyanya kwegore ra2021," ichiti shanduko yehutachiona uye kufambira mberi kwemajekiseni, kubviswa kwekutsigira mari nematongerwo emari, geopolitics uye kusawirirana kwekutengeserana zvese zvinogona kukanganisa kudzoreredzwa kwakatsanangurwa mukufanotaura.
Munyika dzakabudirira, "Mushure mekuderera kwemabasa ehupfumi muchikamu chechipiri cha2020, indasitiri yakawedzera nekukurumidza muchikamu chechitatu, zvakanyanya nekuda kwematanho ekurudziro emari uye kuderera kwezvido zvehupfumi," inonyora kudaro Worldsteel.
Sangano rinocherekedza, zvisinei, kuti nhanho dzekuita dzakaramba dziri pasi peiyo pre-denda mukupera kwa2020. Nekuda kweizvozvo, kudiwa kwesimbi kwenyika dzakasimukira kwakanyora kudzikira kwe12,7 muzana muna 2020.
Inofanotaura Worldsteel, "Tichaona kupora kwakanyanya muna 2021 na2022, nekukura kwe8.2 muzana uye 4.2 muzana, zvichiteerana. Nekudaro, kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022 kucharamba kupfupi pamazinga a2019. "
hurumende yakatanga mapurojekiti matsva ekutsigira hupfumi, kukura kwekudyara kwezvivakwa kunotarisirwa kutanga muna 2021 uye kuramba kuchikanganisa kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022.
Muchikamu chekugadzira, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwave kupora zvakanyanya kubva muna Chivabvu 2020. Kwese muna 2020, kugadzirwa kwemotokari kwakadzikira ne1.4 muzana chete. Mamwe matunhu ekugadzira aratidza kukura nekuda kwekuda kwakasimba kunze kwenyika.
Pakazara muChina, kushandiswa kwesimbi kwakawedzera ne9.1 muzana muna 2020. Muna 2021, zvinotarisirwa kuti zvikurudzirwe matanho akaunzwa muna 2020 acharamba aripo kuitira kuti hupfumi hwenyika hurambe huripo. Nekuda kweizvozvo, nzvimbo zhinji dzinoshandisa simbi dzicharatidza kukura kuri pakati nepakati uye kudiwa kwesimbi kweChina kunotarisirwa kukura nezvikamu zvitatu kubva muzana muna 2021. Muna 2022, kukura kwekudiwa kwesimbi "kuchadzikira kusvika muzana sezvo mhedzisiro yekukurudzira kwa2020 inodzikira, uye hurumende. inonangidzira ngwariro pakukura kunopfuurira,” maererano neWorldsteel.
kukura uye kudiwa kwesimbi kweChina kunotarisirwa kukura ne3 muzana muna 2021. Muna 2022, kukura kwesimbi kunoda "kuderera kusvika muzana sezvo mugumisiro wekukurudzira kwe2020 unopera, uye hurumende inotarisa kukura kwakasimba," maererano neWorldsteel.
Nguva yekutumira: Sep-28-2021